Andre Gomes

2010 Record: 14-15-2 (-2,17 units)

ATP US Open - Jeremy Chardy vs Daniel Gimeno - Today, 18:15 BST

*** Play this selection up to 37 Games ***

Pick: 3 units on 4139/4140 Under 37,5 Games @ -111 / 1,901 on Pinnacle

ATP US Open - Guillermo Garcia-Lopez vs Nicolas Almagro - Today, 20:30 BST

*** Play this selection up to -3,5 Games ***

Pick: 3 units on 4152 Nicolas Almagro (-3,5 Games) @ -110 / 1.909 on Pinnacle

WTA US Open - Virginie Razzano vs Ana Ivanovic - Today, 19:15 BST

*** Play this selection up to -5 Games ***

Pick: 3 units on 4730 Ana Ivanovic (-5 Games) @ -108 / 1.926 on Pinnacle

WTA US Open - Samantha Stosur vs Sara Errani - Today, 16:00 BST
WTA US Open - Daniela Hantuchova vs Elena Dementieva - Today, 16:00 BST

*** Play this selection up to -132 / 1.756 ***

Pick: 3 units on 4725 Samantha Stosur ML x 4728 Elena Dementieva ML @ -115 / 1.871 on Pinnacle

WTA US Open - Francesca Schiavone vs Alona Bondarenko - Today, 18:00 BST
WTA US Open - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Gisela Dulko - Today, 18:00 BST

*** Play this selection up to -107 / 1.934 ***

Pick: 3 units on 4717 Francesca Schiavone ML x 4719 Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova ML @ +114 / 2.141 on Pinnacle

ATP US Open - Albert Montanes vs Carsten Ball - Today, 16:00 BST

*** Play this selection up to -119 / 1,837 ***

Pick: 3 units on 4281 Albert Montanes ML @ +108 / 2.080 on Pinnacle

ATP US Open - Kevin Anderson vs Thomaz Bellucci - Today, 19:15 BST

*** Play this selection up to pk Games // -128 / 1,782***

Pick: 1 unit on 4264 Thomaz Bellucci ML @ +140 / 2.400 on Pinnacle
Pick: 2 units on 4264 Thomaz Bellucci  (+2,5 Games) @ -102 / 1.980 on Pinnacle

ATP US Open - Peter Polansky vs James Blake - Today, 20:30 BST

*** Play this selection up to -3,5 Games ***

Pick: 3 units on 4274 James Blake (-3) @ -116 / 1.862 on Pinnacle

WTA US Open - Maria Jose Martinez vs Patty Schnyder - Today, 16:00 BST

*** Play this selection up to -2 Games ***

Pick: 3 units on 4650 Patty Schnyder (-2 Games) @ -110 / 1.909 on Pinnacle

WTA US Open - Julia Goerges vs Yanina Wickmayer - Today, 16:00 BST

*** Play this selection up to +4 Games ***

Pick: 3 units on 4651 Julia Goerges (+4 Games) @ -101 / 1.990 on Pinnacle

WTA US Open - Svetlana Kuznetsova vs Anastasija Sevastova - Today, 18:00 BST

*** Play this selection up to -5 Games ***

Pick: 3 units on 4637 Svetlana Kuznetsova (-5 Games) @ -105 / 1.952 on Pinnacle

WTA US Open - Alexandra Dulgheru vs Sofia Arvidsson - Today, 18:00 BST

*** Play this selection up to -119 / 1,837 ***

Pick: 3 units on 4658 Sofia Arvidsson ML @ -101 / 1.990 on Pinnacle

ATP US Open - Jurgen Melzer vs Ricardas Berankis - Today, 18:30 BST
WTA US Open - Akgul Amanmuradova vs Kaia Kanepi - Today, 20:45 BST

*** Play this selection up to -110 / 1,905 ***

Pick: 3 units on 4285 Jurgen Melzer ML x 4648 Kaia Kanepi ML @ +109 / 2.090 on Pinnacle

ATP US Open - Guillermo Garcia-Lopez vs Lukasz Kubot - Today, 16:00 BST

*** Play this selection up to pk Games // -109/ 1,914 ***

Pick: 1 unit on 4045 Guillermo Garcia-Lopez ML @ +117 / 2.170 on Pinnacle
Pick: 2 units on 4045 Guillermo Garcia-Lopez (+1,5 Games) @ -105 / 1.952 on Pinnacle

ATP US Open - Sergiy Stakhovsky vs Peter Luczak - Today, 16:00 BST

*** Play this selection up to +5 Games ***

Pick: 3 units on 4014 Peter Luczak (+5,5 Games) @ -136 / 1.735 on Pinnacle

ATP US Open - Juan Ignacio Chela vs Yen-Hsun Lu - Today, 17:15 BST

*** Play this selection up to -1,5  Games ***

Pick: 3 units on 4037 Juan Ignacio Chela (-1,5 Games) @ -106 / 1.943 on Pinnacle

ATP US Open - Andy Murray vs Lukas Lacko - Today, 18:00 BST

*** Play this selection up to 29 Games ***

Pick: 3 units on 4033/4034 Over 28,5 Games @ -118 / 1.847 on Pinnacle

WTA US Open - Ana Ivanovic vs Jie Zheng - Today, 16:00 BST
WTA US Open - Sara Errani vs Alisa Kleybanova - Today, 20:00 BST

*** Play this selection up to -105 / 1,951 ***

Pick: 3 units on 4687 Ana Ivanovic ML x 4680 Alisa Kleybanova ML @ +117 / 2.169 on Pinnacle

ATP US Open - Pablo Cuevas vs Julio Silva - Today, 16:00 BST

*** Play this selection up to -164 / 1,617 ***

*** Play this selection up to pk Games // -114 / 1,881 ***

*** Play this selection up to +4 Games ***

*** Play this selection up to +4 Games ***

*** Play this selection up to -125 / 1,800 ***

*** Play this selection up to +107 / 2,071 ***

*** Play this selection up to -116 / 1,874 ***

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime) on 4536 Mirjana Lucic ML x 4529 Dominika Cibulkova ML @ -101 / 1,998 on Pinnacle

FIBA World Championships - 701 Russia vs 702 Côte D’Ivoire

*** Single Dime Play ***

In this early game I think that we have some value with the Over as my projected line appoints to 146/149 points. Being this contest an “one sided” contest between Russia and Ivory Coast the pivotal question is to know how many points the favorite team will put in the board and in my opinion this is the area that the bookmakers failed to understand the Russian side.

In the first two contests, Russia scored only 75 and 56 points but note that they were facing a decent Puertorriquena defensive team and top defensive unit like Turkey so these low scoring numbers are easy to understand and read. Despite this, Russia showed a good ball movement with 21/9 and 12/12 A/TO ratios so their problem was really shooting the ball. Against a team like Ivory Coast they won’t have any kind of problem to score with ease. Turkey and China dropped 86 and 83 points on them and they didn’t enjoy good offensive games as both shot only 43% from the field! I really expect Russia to be near the 90’s points today.

Obviously the other question is to know how many points Ivory Coast will score today?! In the first game against Turkey they scored only 47 points but there are some attenuates: they have lost one of their best players before the game and they were playing against the host team in their first game – wild environment that easily impressed an inexperienced team, heck they shot 29,3% from 2pts range in that game! However against China even though they shot a subpar mark of 36,5% from the field they were able to score 73 points. I expect them to score +60’s points today as the game will be so easy for Russia that they’ll tend to relax a bit on the defensive end. Take the Over 142 in here as my Single Dime Play.

Pick: 3 units on 701/702 Over 142 @ -110 / 1,91 on Bookmaker

MLB - 913 Philadelphia Phillies @ 914 Los Angeles Dodgers

(Starting Pitchers: R. Halladay vs H. Kuroda)

(Starting Pitchers: M. Buehrle vs M. Talbot)

MLB - 923 Texas Rangers @ 924 Kansas City Royals

(Starting Pitchers: C. Wilson vs K. Davis)

Pick: 3 units on 923 Texas Rangers RL -1.5 (w/ C. Wilson) @ -115 / 1.87 on The Greek

FIBA World Championships - 509 Angola vs 510 Argentina

*** Single Dime Play ***

I’m aware that so far in the tournament the African teams have been killed in every single game, but at least Angola is one step above all the other African teams. My play basically is a fade play on the bad spot that Argentina is involved today. They are coming from 2 tough dogfights against Germany and Australia and in both games their experience prevailed down the stretch. The problem is that their national head coach simply didn’t rotate their best players. In fact, Argentina is coming shorthanded for this World Cup as Manu Ginobili and Andreas Nocioni were scratches before the tournament started and Oberto didn’t play yesterday and he is also out for today. To make things even worse, yesterday 4 of the 5 Argentine starters logged at least 33 minutes – we are talking about more than 80% of usage and let’s not forget that will be the third consecutive game for these two teams! Because Angola is their easiest game so far, I expect Argentina to be little sloppy and just “OK” in terms of effort and hustle when compared of what Angola will bring to the court. Angola is coming from a nice win yesterday against Lebanon and I think that we have some value with the +18,5 points spread for them. Take Angola +18,5 in here as my Single Dime Play.

Pick: 3 units on 505 Angola (+18,5) @ -110 / 1,91 on Bookmaker

NOTE: we might have one more play for today

FIBA World Championships - 505 Australia vs 506 Germany

*** Single Dime Play ***

Yesterday Germany shocked the world by defeating Serbia 82-81 on a thrilling Double Overtime win. If we add to the discussion that they were involved in another dogfight in the first game of the tournament against Argentina, this is really a bad physical spot for them: 3rd consecutive game without resting and coming from a double overtime game yesterday. I strongly believe that a letdown will happen for them, as yesterday their shocking win was due to a strong shooting contest: 49,2% from the field, 8-21 behind the arc and 10-12 from the free throw line. In terms of “hustling factors” they were completely dominated by the Serbians 27-43 in the glass with a devastating 4-14 numbers in the offensive boards battle. For today I don’t think that they can handle against a more physical and “fresher” team like Australia, while shooting almost 50% from the field won’t happen in game to game basis.

Meanwhile Australia is coming from a bad taste loss against Argentina in a game they should have won, but faded away down the stretch when Luis Scola took the control of the game. In my power rankings I have Australia 3pts better than Germany if both teams would have to play against each other in normal circumstances, but like I’ve said before this isn’t a normal game as Australia have the physical edge in here. Take Australia -2 as my Single Dime Play.

Pick: 3 units on 505 Australia (-2) @ -110 / 1,91 on Bookmaker

NOTE: In my handicapping process, I always use Pinnacle odds to find the edge. However, I’m aware that not everybody has access to Pinnacle and so, to make things easy, I put on every play, the minimum odds or spread that I think it is enough to have a play on that match.

Outright Plays:

ATP US Open - Outright Winner

*** Play this selection up to +211 / 3,116 ***

Roger Federer is the clear favorite to win this tournament, in my opinion. He may been having a poor season for his standards, but he is the true king of this tournament and with his recent win in Cincinnati, he clearly seems to be the player to beat in here. His draw was very kind to him, as nobody on the bottom half seems to be capable of beating him on a best of 5 match right now, as Djokovic, Soderling, Roddick and Davydenko are clearly far from their best. His most likely opponent in the final will be Murray, who simply lacks the stamina and the mental toughness to beat Federer on a Slam final, as Nadal clearly struggles on this type of surface and Berdych isn’t playing as well as he was in Wimbledon. Nalbandian has also a shot, but I can’t see him getting past Verdasco, Ferrer, Nadal, Murray and then beat Federer in the final. So, Federer has the skills and the draw to win another US Open and that’s exactly what I expect to happen in here.

Pick: 1 unit on Roger Federer to win @ +215 / 3,150 on Pinnacle

WTA US Open - Outright Winner

*** Play this selection up to +522 / 6,222 ***

Yes, she hasn’t played since Wimbledon and she is currently nursing a “knee injury” (just an excuse, so she can tour the country to promote her new book). With Serena out, she will represent the Williams clan on this tournament and her draw couldn’t be any easier. Nobody stands a chance against her until the quarter finals, where she will most likely face Azarenka, who has lost to her fair and square in the Dubai final earlier this season. Venus knows how to step it up her game when it matters and even though she will struggle in the first rounds, she should be present in the semi finals, where her odds should be low enough, so we can make an hedge bet and secure some profit on her.

Pick: 1 unit on Venus Williams to win @ +1306 / 14,060 on Pinnacle

Regular Plays:

ATP US Open - Kei Nishikori vs Evgeny Korolev - Today, 16:00 BST

*** Play this selection up to +2,5 Games // +107 / 2,069 ***

Pick: 1 unit on Evgeny Korolev ML @ +163 / 2,630 on Pinnacle
Pick: 2 units on Evgeny Korolev (+3 Games) @ -103 / 1,971 on Pinnacle

ATP US Open - Bjorn Phau vs Ricardo Mello - Today, 16:00 BST

*** Play this selection up to +2,5 Games // -106 / 1,947 ***

Pick: 1 unit on Bjorn Phau ML @ +164 / 2,640 on Pinnacle
Pick: 2 units on Bjorn Phau (+3 Games) @ +104 / 2,040 on Pinnacle

WTA US Open - Maria Elena Camerin vs Sophie Ferguson - Today, 16:00 BST

*** Play this selection up to +3 Games ***

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime) on Sophie Ferguson (+3 Games) @ -108 / 1,926 on Pinnacle

WTA US Open - Elena Baltacha vs Petra Martic - Today, 16:00 BST

*** Play this selection up to -118 / 1,848 ***

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime) on Elena Baltacha ML @ -115 / 1,870 on Pinnacle

WTA US Open - Johanna Larsson vs Alisa Kleybanova - Today, 16:00 BST
WTA US Open - Ana Ivanovic vs Ekaterina Makarova - Today, 21:15 BST

*** Play this selection up to -116 / 1,874 ***

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime) on Alisa Kleybanova ML x Ana Ivanovic ML @ -105 / 1,969 on Pinnacle

WTA US Open - Gisela Dulko vs Angelique Kerber - Today, 17:15 BST

*** Play this selection up to -149 / 1,672 ***

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime) on Gisela Dulko ML @ -110 / 1,909 on Pinnacle

WTA US Open - Michelle Larcher de Brito vs Sania Mirza - Today, 18:00 BST

*** Play this selection up to -126 / 1,804 ***

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime) on Michelle Larcher de Brito ML @ +115 / 2,150 on Pinnacle

ATP US Open - Carsten Ball vs Milos Raonic - Today, 18:30 BST

*** Play this selection up to +104 / 2,035 ***

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime) on Carsten Ball ML @ +109 / 2,090 on Pinnacle

ATP US Open - Leonardo Mayer vs Guillaume Rufin - Today, 18:30 BST
ATP US Open - Tim Smyczek vs Thomaz Bellucci - Today, 21:30 BST

*** Play this selection up to -104 / 1,964 ***

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime) on Leonardo Mayer ML x Thomaz Bellucci ML @ +104 / 2,038 on Pinnacle

WTA US Open - Rebecca Marino vs Ksenia Pervak - Today, 20:30 BST

*** Play this selection up to -3 Games ***

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime) on Ksenia Pervak (-2,5 Games) @ -110 / 1,909 on Pinnacle

Good luck,

André Silva

Good afternoon.

As you may remember, I used to make tennis selections for Andre Gomes until a couple of months ago, where I had to stop due to some personal problems, which have been completely solved. So, in order to improve my handicapping skills and to make my return as more profitable as possible, I’ve been working hard on my comeback to handicapping since April, 11th by running some interim tests, in order to limit my weakness and explore my strengths. After a conservation with Andre Gomes, we have agreed that I will once again start releasing my tennis selections today to everybody who is interested in getting them.

My tennis selections will be absolutely free of charge until the end of the 2010 season and they will be sent via email at least one hour before the start of the first match of the day, in order to give time to everybody to bet on them. My selections will also be available on the website and on the blog. A warning will be written on twitter too.

Barring some exceptions, my tennis selections will have no writeups. I will eventually write a couple of notes in some matches, especially on best bets and on big matches (ex: finals or matches involving two high-caliber players).

My money management will be the following: I will rate my plays from 1 to 5 units, with a regular play having a stake of 3 units. I recommend you to play the following percentages of your initial bank to the different kind of plays: 1 unit - 0,20%; 2 units - 0,30%: 3 units - 0,50%; 4 units - 0,75%; 5 units - 1,00%.

Best regards,

André Silva